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Ying Zhou wins Palgrave Macmillan Prize

Ying Zhou won the Palgrave Macmillan Prize for best competitive paper at the Academy of International Business UK and Ireland Conference held between 16-18 April at Manchester Metropolitan University. The paper “Experience, age and exporting performance in UK SMEs” written together with Prof. Jim Love and Prof. Stephen Roper from Warwick Business School was published by the Enterprise Research Centre (ERC). ERC is a partnership between Warwick Business School, Aston Business School, Imperial College Business School, Strathclyde Business School, Birmingham Business School and De Montfort University.

Scott Taylor awarded Outstanding Paper Award

Dr Scott Taylor’s paper, written with Chris Land, received the Outstanding paper award 2014, Qualitative Research in Organizations & Management, selected by the journal’s editorial team. The paper on ‘Organizational anonymity and the negotiation of research access’ aims to examine part of the organizational research process, access negotiation, through reflexive analysis of a recent data collection process. It questions two emergent norms in this area: first, that organizational anonymity be granted in exchange for organizational access; and second, that access negotiation be seen as a bounded activity at the start of data collection.

Hang Li of Dept of Finance awarded Li Siguang Scholarship

Hang Li, first year PhD student supervised by Dr Nick Carline and Dr Hisham Farag, has secured a prestigious Li Siguang scholarship to fully fund the remaining three years of her PhD study in the Department of Finance. Hang was only one of four recipients across the whole University to be awarded this scholarship by the Chinese Scholarship Council. She's undertaking research into the efficiency of the mergers and acquisitions market, including with relevance to China.

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Journal articles (alphabetical order)

FORTHCOMING:

J. Fry, J.Binner, Elementary modelling and behaviour alanalysis for emergency evacuations using social media, European Journal of Operational Research (2015), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2015.05.049

Social media usage in evacuations and emergency management represents a rapidly expanding field of study. Our paper thus provides quantitative insight into a serious practical problem. Within this context a behavioural approach is key. We discuss when facilitators should consider model based interventions amid further implications for disaster communication and emergency management. We model the behaviour of individual people by deriving optimal contrarian strategies. We formulate a Bayesian algorithm which enables the optimal evacuation to be conducted sequentially under worsening conditions.

Bagchi, A. and Bandyopadhyay, S. A Model of Workplace Deviance and Recession, forthcoming, B.E. Journal of Theoretical Economics (contributions tier)

We examine the relationship between the incidence of workplace deviance (on-the-job crime) and the state of the economy. A worker's probability of future employment depends on whether she has been deviant as well as on the availability of jobs. Using a two period model we show that the net impact on deviant behavior to changes in unemployment can go either way depending upon the nature of the equilibrium. Two kinds of equilibria are possible. In one, a non-deviant's probability of being employed increases as expected market conditions improve which lowers the incentive to be a deviant. In contrast, in the other kind of equilibrium, the deviant's probability of being employed increases when market conditions improve which increases the incentive to be a deviant. In either case, there is a setup cost to deviant behavior and the attractiveness of incurring that increases with an increase in expected probability of future employment which unambiguously increases the incentive to be deviant. In the first kind of equilibrium, the two effects counteract each other, while in the second they reinforce each other. Finally, we characterize conditions under which an increase in optimism, i.e. a reduction in the probability of facing a recession unambiguously increases deviant behavior.

Pérez, E. and Y. Yao (2015). "Can institutional reform reduce job destruction and unemployment duration? Yes it can." Empirical Economics: 1-23. DOI: 10.1007/s00181-014-0898-3

We read search theory’s equilibrium conditions for unemployment as an iso-unemployment curve. A country’s position along the curve reveals its preferences over the destruction–duration mix. Using a panel of 20 OECD countries over 1985–2009, we find that the employment protection legislation and collective bargaining coverage have opposing effects on the job destructions and unemployment durations, while the remaining key institutional factors affect one or another. Implementing the right reforms could reduce job destruction rates by about 0.05–1.3 % points and unemployment rates by up to 4 % points depending on the country considered.

Hogrefe, J. and Y. Yao (2015). "Offshoring and labor income risk: an empirical investigation." Empirical Economics: 1-19. DOI: 10.1007/s00181-015-0966-3

This paper analyzes how increased offshoring affects labor income risk. Dealing with the variability of incomes, it is therefore distinct from a large number of studies explaining the level effects of globalization on income in the labor market. It provides an assessment that directly connects labor income risk and offshoring trends in a panel setting at the industry level using German data. Importantly, we distinguish between transitory and permanent risk to individual income. Permanent income risk is defined as the variance of unpredictable shocks to income that do not fade out over time. Different from transitory short-term fluctuations, it has a particular welfare relevance. Our findings suggest that, at the industry level, permanent labor income risk decreases with offshoring. This effect is particularly strong for offshoring to low-income destinations.

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